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Report

Opportunity NOCs: How Investors Can Jumpstart Energy Transitions in National Oil Companies

By Angela Picciariello (IISD), Paasha Mahdavi (UCSB), with Greg Muttitt (IISD), and Matto Mildenberger (UCSB) · 2023

The extent of investor exposure and the degree of investors’ potential influence over the fates of NOCs are far greater than investors themselves may perceive.

International oil companies, or IOCs, face increasing pressure from investors, regulators, and the broader public to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and accelerate the transition to clean energy. By contrast, investors, regulators and others have paid far less attention to national oil companies, or NOCs. These state-owned titans constitute half of the world’s oil and gas production, control two-thirds of global reserves, and often serve as the largest entities in their home economies. If the world is to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement, NOCs must begin decarbonizing their activities.

Despite the seemingly closed-off nature of many NOCs, investors will play a critical role in directing and incentivizing this energy transition. This brief shows that both the extent of investor exposure and the degree of investors’ potential influence over the fates of NOCs are far greater than investors themselves may perceive.

Key takeaways

  • Investors are financially exposed to a range of NOC activities. This exposure both opens avenues for investor influence and creates a strong incentive for investors to use it.
  • NOCs can be partly shareholder-owned like Equinor and Petrobras; others have issued bonds like Pemex and the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company; and a number require outside technical assistance and financing.
  • Investors are also exposed to NOCs through their holdings in banks like JPMorgan Chase, Citi and Bank of America, which have financed hundreds of billions of dollars per year to the largest NOCs.

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